6 market forecasts for the next decade

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The past decade has been one of the best in the recent past for investors. However, before investors assume that the market will cool in the 2020s, it is important to remember how bad the 2000s were.

In fact, according to DataTrek, the trailing 20-year return on the S & P 500 is close to the lowest level in the past 90 years.

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "It is extremely difficult to see 10 years into the future . Just ask BlackBerry Ltd. (NYSE: BB) Investors in 2010 hoping the company would be 2020. "data-reactid =" 20 "> It is extremely difficult to see 10 years into the future, just ask BlackBerry Ltd. (NYSE: BB) investors in 2010, where they hoped the company would be in 2020.

Here are some bold predictions of what investors can expect in the next 10 years.

1. The US cannabis boom will finally arrive.

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The key for investors will be to determine which companies will emerge as the long-term leaders in an industry that is likely to consolidate significantly and continue to struggle in the near future.

2. The next bear market will come and go and it will be a milder one.

The average decline of the S&P 500 in bear markets since 1956 has been around 33%, an important technical level for traders. The decline of the S&P 500 from top to bottom in the bear market in 2008-2009 was around 57%, the worst market decline in more than 60 years.

<p class = "canvas-atom-canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "The last time the S & amp ; P 500 more fell During a bear market, it was more than 45% at the end of the 1970s, and the subsequent bear market was on mild side with a decrease of only 27.1%. "data-reactid =" 27 "> The last time the S&P 500 fell more than 45% during a bear market was in the late 1970s, and the subsequent bear market was on the mild side with only 27.1% % Decline.

3. The health market is disrupted.

<p class = "Canvas-Atom-Canvas-Text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Forbes editor-in-chief Steve Forbes It was recently announced that the healthcare industry has been isolated from the dynamics of the free market for years due to government intervention and from third parties such as insurance companies and employers. "data-reactid =" 29 "> Forbes editor-in-chief Steve Forbes said recently that the healthcare industry has been isolated from the dynamics of the free market for years due to government intervention and from third parties such as insurance companies and employers.

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "The system is so broken that Forbes thinks it is now ready for disruption, just as the transportation industry was disrupted by disruption About Technologies Inc (NYSE: ABOUT) and Lyft Inc (NASDAQ: LYFT). "data-reactid =" 30 "> The system is so broken that Forbes believes it is now as prone to failure as the transport industry About Technologies Inc (NYSE: UBER) and Lyft Inc (NASDAQ: LYFT).

"The free markets will do what governments have never done with their top-down regulatory initiatives: more and better health care at a lower cost," he wrote.

4. The “silver tsunami” creates investment opportunities.

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<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "investments aimed at coping with the silver tsunami, such as senior citizen's apartment REIT Ventas, Inc. (NYSE: VTR), could slowly gain momentum in the 2020s. "data-reactid =" 34 "> The investments focused on coping with the silver tsunami, e.g. REIT Ventas, Inc. (NYSE: VTR) could pick up speed in the 2020s.

5. Value stocks will make a comeback.

<p class = "Canvas-Atom-Canvas-Text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Equity stocks remained behind those throughout the 2010s Growth stocks back, but market observers noticed the trend start turning back Something in the second half of 2019. One place where value investors can look for opportunities is Europe. "data-reactid =" 36 "> Value stocks underperformed growth stocks throughout the 2010s, but market watchers noticed the trend set in. The trend reversed somewhat in the second half of 2019. A place for investors to follow Looking for opportunities is Europe.

<p class = "Canvas-Atom Canvas-Text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "The European stocks mostly lagged behind the USA and Emerging markets stocks have improved significantly in the past 10 years SPDR S & amp; P 500 ETF (NYSE: SPY) rose 189% while the VANGUARD TAX-MA / FTSE DEVELOPS MKTS (NYSE: VEA) has only increased by 29% during this period. "data-reactid =" 37 "> European stocks have largely lagged behind stocks in the United States and emerging markets for the past 10 years SPDR S & P 500 ETF (NYSE: SPY) rose 189% during the VANGUARD TAX-MA / FTSE DEVELOPS MKTS (NYSE: VEA) has only increased by 29% during this time.

6. Oil prices will rise steadily.

<p class = "Canvas-Atom-Canvas-Text Mb (1.0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0.8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "The energy sector has been an important market retardant since the end of 2014 A supply flood on the oil market collapsed. The future of energy supply is undoubtedly from renewable sources, but the world will continue to be heavily dependent on oil and gas in the 2020s, according to the US Energy Information AdministrationEmagazine.credit-suisse.com/app/art…7805 & lang = DE Since the oil market collapsed at the end of 2014, the energy sector has been a large gap on the market. The future of energy supply is undoubtedly in renewable sources, but the world will continue to be heavily dependent on oil and gas in the 2020s, according to the US Energy Information Administration.

The EIA forecasts that US oil production will not peak until 2039. The EIA also forecasts crude oil prices of $ 90 / barrel Brent by 2030 and crude oil prices of $ 100 / barrel Brent by 2050.

Oil will certainly continue to lose market share of renewable energy over time, but as global energy demand continues to grow, there is still a lot of money to be made for oil and gas.

<p class = "canvas-atom canvas-text Mb (1,0em) Mb (0) – sm Mt (0,8em) – sm" type = "text" content = "Do you agree or disagree with these predictions? Send an email with your thoughts to feedback@benzinga.com."data-reactid =" 42 ">Do you agree or disagree with these predictions? Send an email with your thoughts to feedback@benzinga.com.

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