Our post expert has made a Super Bowl prediction


MIAMI – I think it's a good thing that I was forced to make my annual Super Bowl 2020 selection under deadline constraints, because now I can stop throwing my quest and turn around to find out and do it right ,

Do you remember Billy Martin in these Miller Lite commercials?

"I feel strong in both directions."

I am every fucking day of the week.

I'm sure I've set Super Bowl Week records for unrest and anger.

A minute after listening to the Chief's players, I picked them out. The next minute after listening to 49ers players, I picked them out.

I have always been waiting for a revelation – it will be here any moment – and I have tried to google Miami-based psychics. I decided Joe & # 39; s Stone Crab would use my time and money better. For some godless reason I ordered a rib. Joe Stone Ribeye, someone?

49ers linebacker Kwon Alexander, an adorable boy, made me wiggle on Wednesday night when he vowed that his acclaimed passkeepers would hunt Patrick Mahomes. "I promise you will," he told me.

That caught my attention.

Patrick Mahomes and Jimmy Garoppolo
Patrick Mahomes and Jimmy GaroppoloAP

On Thursday, 49ers Tackle Mike McGlinchey told me the following about Jimmy Garoppolo: “Mahomes is the current MVP for a reason. The success he had in his first two starting years is unheard of in the history of the NFL and it presents a lot of challenges for us on Sunday, but don't overlook No. 10. He is a stallion and an absolute baller over there. He's the quarterback of a very, very complete football team and he doesn't have to be a guy with six touchdowns and 500 yards every week, but he's very, very capable of doing it when he has to, and that's exactly what we love to hang up our hat: 'All right, keep doubting it because it will continue to prove the opposite to you. & # 39; "

Then I remembered that during Super Week there was no team that wasn't confident, that didn't believe in their quarterback, and that had a whisper in their ear from the start: “I don't think we have a chance against them Guys. "

But as impressive as I can be, I remember laughing at Broadway Joe Namath's guarantee in Super Bowl III.

Hey, there's just a Broadway Joe.

So I went with my stomach (where there might have been a six-pack … or maybe not).

I went with Patrick Mahomes.

I also went with my heart.

I went with Andy Reid.

It was Mahomes versus Defense Wins Championships that mattered to me and I just couldn't bet against Magic Mahomes.

Defense wins championships when you have the 85 Bears against the Tony Eason Patriots or the 2000 Ravens against the Kerry Collins Giants or The Greatest Show on Turf against Bill Belichick or Jared Goff against Bill Belichick.

Elite quarterbacks also win championships. Joe Montana and Terry Bradshaw won four Super Bowls – yes, their defense was pretty good – Troy Aikman won three, Eli Manning won two at the end of the game, Ben Roethlisberger won one at the end, Steve Young threw six touchdown passes against the charger, Tom Brady brought the patriots back from a 28-3 deficit.

Hot quarterbacks also win championships – Phil Simms was 22-out of 25 at Super Bowl XXI in Pasadena, California, Doug Williams threw for 340 yards and four TDs in Super Bowl XXII, Nick Foles threw three TD passes and caught one as Saint Nick at the Super Bowl LII, Philadelphia delivers its first Lombardi Trophy.

I was impressed by how lightning-fast Mahomes and his track team recipients were able to quickly overcome any deficit, especially this off-season. No head start was certain against these guys. Tyreek Hill? Not even Mahomes can overthrow him. Travis Kelce? So cling on and his chance to outshine George Kittle.

A coincidence for you: Montana threw 11 TDs into his four Super Bowls without a break. Mahomes has thrown 11 TDs without INT in his four playoff games. I just say & # 39 ;.

My high school friend, who asked for anonymity because he didn't want anyone to know that he knew me – let's call him Gettleman – reminded me that Raheem Mostert hit the packers on the ground for 220 meters.

No more chance that a healthy Chris Jones dominates in the trenches of the chiefs.

Kyle Shanahan's off-zone running game will be successful against the Chiefs. But what happens if the 49ers can't control the clock and can't keep Mahomes off the field enough?

And what if Mahomes, who will be careful but not afraid to attack Richard Sherman, forces Garoppolo to catch up with Jones and Frank Clark and Honey Badger Mathieu? Garoppolo does not manage to throw eight passes in these.

And if Nick Bosa and DeForest Buckner as well as Arik Armstead and Dee Ford sometimes reach Mahomes, are the Chief's offensive and defensive lines fed up with hearing from these guys?

And what if Mahomes gets the ball out of hand so quickly? He was fired 17 times in 14 regular season games and only twice that postseason. Mahomes' offensive line was the best in the league when it came to holding blocks in the first three seconds of passing games this season, according to Next Gen Stats.

Fans of the 49ers will point out that Garoppolo will throw 349 yards, four TDs and an INT in his 48-46 week 14-week victory over the Saints.

I'd like to point out that Drew Brees also throws 349 yards with five TDs and zero INTs against the 49ers' best-placed pass defense.

Deonte Harris, who returned after five kickoffs, scored a 155-meter lead in this game.

The chiefs will have difficulty running the ball, but Mahome's incomparable instinct can strain the 49ers' defenses because he throws well on the run and is dangerous with his legs.

And I couldn't underestimate the Team of Destiny factor. Reid needs a Super Bowl championship for the Hall of Fame. Most areas outside of San Francisco will take root for him. Hell, even Philadelphia, who couldn't wait to see him at the end, made him her sentimental favorite. The Chiefs players want to win this for him. Reid is 61 years old and who knows if this will be his last resort for his catastrophic watch management at the end of Super Bowl XXXIX?

He is the perfect trainer for Magic Mahomes. He is an innovator who lets Mahomes be Mahomes. And Magic Mahomes is the perfect quarterback for him. The perfect storm.

This has what it takes to be an epic Super Bowl. Mahomes must be more balanced and patient than usual. He will be. Second Super Bowl extension. Mahomes-to-Hardman, 54-yard TD pass ends it. That is his Mahoment. Bosses, 29-23 in OT.

For more information on Super Bowl 2020, see the latest episode of the podcast "Gang’s All Here":