LAS VEGAS – Are you looking at Chiefs -1's Super Bowl spread versus the 49s and think it's too big a toss?
Well, this is a guide on how to bet with the popular betting options to give yourself the best chance of a profitable super Sunday without resorting to the actual coin toss and feeling like a degenerate.
My first advice is to use props that support the way you hinder the game. For example, if you think the 49ers 'defense can end the high-power chiefs' offense, you'd try to bet below the measured values for Kansas City players. If you think Patrick Mahomes & Co. will roll, you should contact the Overs.
A word to the wise: if you want to use player props, bet on overs as soon as possible because the audience tends to bet on overs. Many of these sums are expected to increase, but wait until you use Unders to get the best possible number for the game day.
With the game coming up and I'm expecting a back and forth fight, I'll start with props based on this type of game and then diversify my portfolio with bets that are unrelated to this story.
These props come from William Hill and the Westgate SuperBook, but be sure to find the cheapest numbers and other bets that interest you.
Game draw after 0-0? (Yes, +130, William Hill)
It's pretty easy. We only cheer that the game remains a tie. Since it's likely to be a back and forth game, the chances are high (note: this year we even won the Patriots' 13-3 win over the Rams in the Super Bowl with the lowest score ever than the Rams tied at 3-3 in the third quarter).
Biggest lead (under 14.5 points, +110, Westgate)
In a back and forth game, we just don't need a team that goes up more than two touchdowns. And we're getting a plus price this year.
Will there be overtime? (Yes, 8/1, Westgate)
This is usually not a good bet since chances are short considering that only one of the previous 53 Super Bowls worked overtime, but I think it's worth a bet this year with the close game expected. I also trust both offenses if I am 3, 7 or 8 points late (and this scenario would also cash our first bet).
Double result of halftime / game winner (Tie / Chiefs 12/1 and Tie / 49ers 12/1, Westgate)
It looks more complicated, but we're basically betting that the game will be a draw at half-time, and then it doesn't matter who wins the game.
Here are some other props …
Jersey number of the first player to score a TD (Under 26.5, -110, Westgate)
You could charge a higher price for a single player, but I prefer this option because you have both quarterbacks and chiefs RBs LeSean McCoy (25) and Damien Williams (26), and receiver Tyreek Hill (10), Demarcus Robinson (11), Sammy Watkins (14) and Mecole Hardman (17). You can also get Tevin Coleman (26) from San Francisco when he's free to play.
Total number of players attempting to pass (over 2.5, +130, William Hill)
Both coaches are able to design trick games to do this for us. We don't tolerate cheering for a quarterback injury, but it would also pay off if a backup was pushed into service, even if it only took one round.
Shortest landing (under 1.5 meters, -160, William Hill)
This has been one of my favorite props over the years. It used to be closer to picking it and there was no revenue last year as the only touchdown was a 2-yard run from Sony Michel. The past three years and five of the past six years have paid off, so I still don't think the price is too high.
Good luck playing the Super Bowl.