Trends that will shape the technology market in 2020 – Help Net Security

2020 technology market

In 2020, continuous intelligence technologies (CI) will be increasingly used, with which the IoT data analysis goes far beyond the traditional operational levels and the strategic planning and organizational change will be influenced more, according to ABI Research.

2020 technology market

View of the technology market 2020

Analysts have identified 35 trends that will shape the technology market and 19 others that, while attracting large amounts of speculation and commentary, reduce the likelihood that they will move the needle in the next twelve months.

"After a tumultuous year 2019, which was marked by numerous challenges that are essential for the technology markets and depend on the global market dynamics, the year 2020 is expected to be just as challenging," said Stuart Carlaw, Chief Research Officer at ABI Research.

Continuous intelligence

"CI will consolidate on the IoT analytics market and enable more advanced analytics in near real time," said Kateryna Dubrova, M2M, IoT, and IoE analyst at ABI Research.

With the advent and expansion of streaming analytics and streaming technologies, the ability to continuously analyze IoT data and extract values ​​from it has been growing. The CI application will be possible as the cloud providers and providers offer E2E platforms and expand their capabilities through digital partnerships, big data technologies and ML algorithms.

"Therefore, ABI Research predicts a stronger adoption of CI technologies in 2020 that will increase IoT data analysis beyond the traditional operational level (maintenance and control). However, we will also see greater effects on strategic planning and organizational change."

mMTC will only support a handful of chipset manufacturers

mMTC started below 4G, with LTE-M and narrowband IoT (NB-IoT) being "forward compatible" with the upcoming 5G New Radio (NR) standard. Chipset providers saw a chance on the green field to rise from zero to the hero with massive IoT. Some were founded from scratch to develop a single NB-IoT baseband chip.

“There were 17 baseband suppliers in this race, of which only four currently offer the most hundreds of LTE-M and NB-IoT products. HiSilicon, MediaTek, Qualcomm and RDA (UNISOC) dominate. And this situation will only get worse with the transition to Release 16 and the full coexistence of LTE-M and NB-IoT with 5G NR, ie the "official" start of the mMTC market, "says Jamie Moss, M2M, IoT & IoE Research Director at ABI Research.

"Nothing is as successful as success, and only those who are strong early on despite slow first sales will be there in the coming boom years."

China will advance the sharing economy 2.0

Uber and Airbnb could be viewed as Sharing Economy 1.0. "But China is showing the world what the next phase of the sharing economy will look like: shared power banks," said Dan Shey, vice president of enabling platforms at ABI Research. Shared power banks have been a primary driver of cellular connections in China these days.

"The newer applications in the" networked "version of the sharing economy will continue to grow worldwide, albeit at a more measured pace than in China."

2020 technology market: The IoT platform market will not consolidate

"For many years, there have been predictions that the market for IoT platform providers is starting to consolidate, and it just won't happen," said Dan Shey, vice president of enabling platforms at ABI Research.

"The simple reason is that there are more than 100 companies that offer IoT platform services for devices and clouds, and for every company acquired, new ones come onto the market."

Unlicensed proprietary LPWA is not merged with licensed open standards

“At the level of standards, the two cannot be reconciled because the price of cellular commands comes from licensing costs and owner control over their frequency blocks, and a secure, managed, and quality of service guarantee is provided for IoT customers,” says Adarsh ​​Krishnan, Principal Analyst for M2M, IoT & IoE at ABI Research.

Edge doesn't overtake the cloud

"The accelerated growth of edge technology and the paradigm for smart devices has led to one of the biggest misunderstandings in the industry: edge technology can exploit cloud technology," says M2M, IoT & IoE analyst Kateryna Dubrova.

"Indeed, in the future we will see a rapid development of the Edge Cloud Fog continuum, in which the technologies complement each other and do not exploit each other."